Siena-New York Times poll shows Trump with a massive lead

The poll was conducted from July 23-27 among “the likely electorate in the Republican primary”:

• Trump: 54%
• DeSantis: 17%
• Pence: 3%
• Scott: 3%
• Haley: 3%
• Ramaswamy: 2%
• Christie: 2%
• Hurd: 1%
• Burgum: .5%
• Suarez: .5%

Other observations:

• 89% of GOP primary voters believe the United States is “on the wrong track.”
• 82% of GOP primary voters “strongly disapprove” of how Joe Biden is handling his job as president.
• 43% of GOP primary voters have a “very favorable” opinion of Trump. 33% have a “somewhat favorable” opinion of Trump. 22% have a “somewhat unfavorable” or “very unfavorable” opinion of Trump.
• 66% of GOP primary voters have a favorable opinion of Ron DeSantis
• 44% of GOP primary voters have a favorable opinion of Mike Pence.
• 53% of GOP primary voters have a favorable opinion of Robert Kennedy Jr.
• If the 2024 presidential election were held today, 84% of GOP voters would vote for Trump over Biden.
• 70% of GOP primary voters believe the economy is “poor.” 25% believe it is “only fair”
• 34% of GOP primary voters are considering supporting Trump in the primaries. 55% of them ARE NOT considering Trump.
• GOP primary voters believe Ron DeSantis is more “moral” than Donald Trump (45% to 37%).
• GOP primary voters believe Ron DeSantis is more “likeable” than Trump (45% to 43%).
• GOP primary voters believe, by a 58% to 28% margin, that Trump has a better chance of beating Biden in November 2024.
• GOP primary voters believe, by a 54% to 16% margin, that Trump is more “fun” than DeSantis.
• 71% of GOP primary voters believe that Donald Trump has “not committed serious federal crimes.”
• 22% of GOP primary voters believe abortion should be “always illegal.” 33% believe abortion should be “mostly illegal.” 37% believe abortion should be either “always legal” or “mostly legal.”
• 60% of GOP primary voters support state laws that ban abortion after six weeks of pregnancy. 36% oppose such laws.
• 58% of GOP primary voters support a federal law banning abortions after fifteen weeks of pregnancy. 36% oppose such a ban.
• 50% of GOP primary voters support gay marriage. 41% oppose it.
• 44% of GOP primary voters support additional economic and military aid to Ukraine. 52% oppose additional aid.
• 39% of GOP primary voters support a pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States. 57% oppose.
• 75% of GOP primary voters believe that Trump was “just exercising his right to contest the election” after the November 2020 election. Only 19% believe that he “threatened American democracy.”
• 59% of GOP primary voters want to keep Social Security and Medicaire benefits “as they are.”
• GOP primary voters prefer a presidential candidate who focuses on the southern border (65%) over a candidate who focuses on “woke ideology” (24%)
• GOP primary voters prefer a presidential candidate who believes government should “stay out of deciding what corporations can support (52%) over a candidate who “promises to fight corporations that promote “woke” left ideology (38%).
• GOP primary voters prefer a presidential candidate who “promises to protect individual freedom” (51%) over a president who “promises to protect traditional values” (40%)
• GOP primary voters prefer a presidential candidate who is “more conservative than most Republicans” (58%) over a candidate who is more “moderate than most Republicans” (39%).
• GOP primary voters prefer a presidential candidate who agrees with them on most issues (59%) over a candidate who has the best chance to beat Joe Biden (38%).
• 69% of GOP primary voters believe that when elected officials make decisions they should prioritize the “common sense of ordinary people” (69%) over the “knowledge of trained experts” (25%).
• 70% of GOP primary voters believe we should “pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems here at home.”
• 58% of GOP primary voters believe “society should NOT acceept transgender people as the gender they identify with.” 30% believe the opposite.
• 62% of GOP primary voters believe that America’s “problems are so bad” that the country is “in danger of failing as a nation.”
• 7% of GOP primary voters are Hispanic (Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, etc.)
• 84% of GOP primary voters consider themselves to be white.
• 75% of GOP primary voters are over the age of 45. 6% are between the ages of 18-29.
• 54% of GOP primary voters make between $50,000 and $200,00 a year. 10% make over $200,000. 15% make between 25,000 and 50,000.
• 47% of GOP primary voters are Protestants. 19% are Catholic.
• 40% of GOP primary voters identified as either “evangelical” or “born-again Christian.”

The poll asked GOP primary voters about where they get their news. Here are the results:

• Fox News: 26%
• Social Media: 12%
• Newsmax: 6%
• Aggregation sites (Bing, Google, Yahoo): 6%
• Local broadcast news: 6%
• Conservative news sites: 5%
• National print news: 3%
• CNN: 2%
• Conservative talk radio: 2%
• International news: 2%
• MSNBC: 1%
• NPR/PBS: 1%
• Local print or online news: 1%
• Friends and family: 0%

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